May 30 2008

Meltdown

Posted by Steve Ross in 2008 Presidentials

I know I keep saying that I won’t write about this anymore, and if you don’t want to read it, then just stop now.

The more I watch the mess that is playing out in the Democratic Presidential nomination, the more transfixed I am by the terrifying slow motion apocalypse that is happening before our eyes. The ever shifting “win”. The attempts at pacifying through praise. The ever-lengthening display of surrogate after surrogate paraded across the stage, pleading the case of a candidate who has obviously thrown everything from finances to self-worth into what is quickly becoming a tragic loss. If there is has ever, on such a public stage, been performed a more thorough example of a Greek Tragedy, I do not know what it is. This is the most public, drawn out, and heart wrenching personal and political meltdown in the history of modern politics.

I’m watching this display of desperation, and trying to identify, both emotionally and intellectually, with both sides.

On the Obama side, this has to be the best preparation for dealing with the diplomatic madness that is Iran and North Korea that any Presidential candidate could possibly experience. Unfortunately for them, they are not dealing with a despot. They are dealing with a person who shares many of their same beliefs. They are dealing with a person who has held massive sway in the party that they both claim. It’s an impossible situation for the Obama camp. They have to do everything in their power to pacify, all the while trying to hold on to their momentum through the convention. That no one on their side has publicly lost their temper is a testimony to their discipline.

On the Clinton side, they see a candidate that had her mantle, the hopes and dreams of literally millions of Americans, stolen by a man they see as unfit to govern. Further, they see a candidate who represents the long hard fight of a generation of women. A promise, stolen once again, by a system stacked against them. There is no way to do this kind of anger and disappointment justice. It is an anger, thrust on a candidate (Obama) who just happened to be in the way.

The Clinton campaign has traveled the breadth of emotions over the past several months. From the early inevitability, to the stunning defeats in Iowa, S. Carolina, and Super Tuesday, to the desperate, yet slipping clutch on reality that they have today. I cannot imagine what she, and her most fervent supporters are going through, but I know the anger is real. Hillary and her supporters have chased the ever-changing promise of victory as bait, from worms and crickets to floaters and spinners. They have gladly altered their diet to suit the needs of the campaign, and each time, their dinner has been snatched away from them by a campaign that was better organized and funded. Now they are hungry, and angry, and disoriented, and any food will do (with maps from Karl Rove & Co. on page 5, nice touch).

The Clinton camp sent out letters to all the Super (or automatic) delegates. That letter can be read here. As she argues that the “will of the people should not be overturned by Superdelegates” she is pleading with supers to overturn the will of the people. It’s a classic “win by any means, even if they compete against each other” strategy that illustrates the depth of desperation.

No matter what happens on Saturday, Clinton’s supporters will not be satisfied. Satisfaction only comes from ultimate victory…a victory that is fleeting with nearly all the best-case scenarios. The question is, what will happen from there.

Back in January, I, and many other Edwards as well as Clinton supporters, accused the Obama campaign of being a cult of personality, a phase that would pass and garner no traction in the larger campaign. I was certain that Obama would suffer, as Howard Dean had before him, from something that would mortally wound his campaign, giving the nomination to someone else. I was right, just about the wrong candidate.

Hillary’s supporters have taken the early ugliness put forth by some of the less savory supporters of Obama and taken it to a level that I have not seen in any nominating process in my life. They have chosen to make this so personal, to the possible detriment of the party and it’s eventual nominee, to see their victory through. It is the Clinton campaign that is the cult of personality, intent on her victory at the expense of all else, whether it be shifting the metric for winning or blindly swinging to hopefully land the blow that will cripple the Obama campaign and ensure their success.

The endgame will not come on Saturday, or Sunday, or the Tuesday after. The endgame will not come for the fervent supporters of Hillary Clinton (as opposed to the Democratic party) until she is declared the winner of all. There is no concession that will be enough to satisfy them. There is no other solution, in their view. She must win.

The onus now falls on the candidate. Can she divorce herself of her ambition, in the face of a nearly impossible situation, to unite the party behind it’s eventual nominee…not her. That’s really the only question left. The answer will most certainly be long and tortured, it will be fraught with anger and dismay, it may or may not come quickly, but eventually, reality will sink in, and the public meltdown that was the 2008 Hillary Clinton Presidential campaign will have to come to an end.

That end may not be quick or pretty. There are a lot of different ways that end can play out. Some that take us well past the convention, and into the realm of another broken promise…that she will support the Democratic nominee. My biggest hope is that the nominating process doesn’t end like the 2006 Senate race in Connecticut with two “Democrats” on the general election ballot. The end result, in this instance, will be 4 more years of Republicans in the White House.

May 24 2008

Two Things that Sum Up the Hillary Flap

Posted by Steve Ross in Uncategorized

Followed by The Rude One

May 16 2008

Clinton Backers Lose it

Posted by Steve Ross in 2008 Presidentials

From Politico:

An Ohio-based group of Democratic Hillary Clinton supporters say they’ll work actively against Sen. Barack Obama if he becomes the nominee, arguing that Clinton has been the subject of “intense sexism” by party leaders and the media.

Is this really what Hillary would want? Don’t answer that.

I get it. A lot of people, particularly of a certain age group (boomers), are pissed that no woman has served as President yet. On a certain level, they have a right to be. Sure there’s sexism involved, but from the party? Are you serious? Was sexism involved in the hiring of Mark Penn? Was sexism involved in all the stupid little mistakes that led to his firing? Was sexism involved in her post-Super Tuesday staff turnover (that should have included Mark Penn but didn’t)? No, your candidate made some bad choices. Pair that with a charismatic opponent, and a highly motivated grass roots staff, and it’s a tough road.

Now, on the other hand, the media has been 8 kinds of wrong to Hillary. They’ve called her just about everything this side of the C word (yeah, THAT C word). If you want to fight the media, I say go for it. They need fighting. Corner Tweety in some DC bar and slap the snot outta him, or make him very afraid. Whatever makes you happy. Smack O’Reily down with his own Loofah. Videotape Charlie Gibson and John Stossel express their unrequited love for themselves, through each other (EWWWWW), then post it on YouTube. Whatever it takes!

Just don’t take it out, on a party that ultimately stands for all the things you’ve been fighting for, all your life. That’s just plain stupid. If you really want to piss off the media, drop the internal fight, and start fighting to elect a Democrat.

May 06 2008

PRIMARY THAT WILL NEVER END – liveblog – Updated with Cookies

Posted by Steve Ross in liveblog

Hi all,

Watching MSNBC. Been watching for an hour or so, and noticed that the numbers in Indiana (actual vote count) hasn’t been shown in some time.

Indiana SOS has it 49k(C) 38K(O).

North Carolina has a really nice results site that doesn’t update nearly regularly enough.

TPM has the Indy vote spread at 55k (C)votes (39% reporting), and the NC spread at 62K (O) (6% reporting).

I hate it when the media calls a race with 0% reporting no matter how obvious it is. And they wonder why people question their credibility.

More after these messages…

Update 12:15:Waiting for room service…. Just called IN for Clinton. Talked to two Michiganders this evening. Good friends, who don’t and never did support my candidate. Their message…DON’T SEAT THE DELEGATES. We broke the rules, don’t muck it all up. My sentiments exactly.

Update Midnite: 51-49. Damn. Could it be? Could it be? Probably not. It’s gonna be a messed up day tomorrow. Too bad I’m working and will miss most of it.

Update 7:45PM: Indiana vote spread has not changed, still 55k votes. NC has, BO has a 135k vote lead in NC (all per TPM). David Axelrod is talking on the Teeve. And he’s having satellite problems. Ok, go back to your cookies people. I’ll update after tweety or Pat Buch says something else stupid.


Update 7:30
Harold Ickes warns of Obama October Surprise. His argument is that we just don’t know enough about Obama, but Hillary has been out there for years and is safe. Puhhhhleeeze! Hang it up Harry. Chances are, you’re not getting paid either.

May 05 2008

Going Nuclear Will be a Dud

Posted by Steve Ross in Uncategorized

It was reported this morning that the Clinton campaign has decided to go nuclear.

The thing about this is, that just like every other “end game” put up by the Clinton camp, it has so many conditions that it’s virtually unworkable. Here’s a peek at this masterful strategery:

1. Win big both places tomorrow. (possible)
2. Convince the world she’s better than Obama. (unlikely, but possible)
3. Get the activists to doubt Obama and go for her (loud screeching sound…)

That’s about where the plan gets derailed. Remember, she doesn’t agree with the activists:

“Moveon.org endorsed [Sen. Barack Obama] — which is like a gusher of money that never seems to slow down,” Clinton said to a meeting of donors. “We have been less successful in caucuses because it brings out the activist base of the Democratic Party. MoveOn didn’t even want us to go into Afghanistan. I mean, that’s what we’re dealing with. And you know they turn out in great numbers. And they are very driven by their view of our positions, and it’s primarily national security and foreign policy that drives them. I don’t agree with them. They know I don’t agree with them. So they flood into these caucuses and dominate them and really intimidate people who actually show up to support me.”

Audio is here.

They, they, they. As long as we are “they” we’ll never think you can, or want you to.

Even though I know I’m part of the problem, simply by writing this post, I’m sick of this. I want this to be over, and THERE ARE OFFICIALLY NO MORE METAPHORS TO DESCRIBE THIS RACE THAT AREN’T TIRED AND OLD, SO DON’T EVEN TRY.

Love ya, mean it.